Ontario Grain Farmer September 2025

ONTARIO GRAIN FARMER GRAIN TALK 20 Market Commentary By Philip Shaw We're looking at very big crops in 2025 across the greater North American corn belt. In the July United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) report, estimates of the U.S. corn crop continue to be 15.705 billion bushels based on an average yield of 181 bushels per acre. Private forecasters are putting this higher into August. On the soybean side, USDA is estimating 4.335 million bushels based on an average soybean yield of 52.5 bushels per acre. There is still time in late August and early September to cut these estimates. However, it looks like big supply is winning the day again this year. These big projections have led to lower Ontario cash prices for grain across the province. It is likely to continue into the fall, depending on the weather from now on. Cash prices for wheat have been particularly disappointing as harvest ended this summer. The Canadian dollar, currently fluttering in the 72-73 cents U.S. range, remains a stimulus to Ontario grain cash prices. • Grain Farmers of Ontario directors host farm tours In June, Jeff Barlow, director of District 6 (Haldimand, Brant, Hamilton, Niagara), hosted a delegation of Ontario wheat milling and bakery customers on his farm as part of a regenerative agriculture event organized by ADM. Grain Farmers of Ontario staff Dana Dickerson, director of market development and sustainability, and Ibrahim Mohammed, sustainability and environment specialist, also participated and presented on Ontario leadership in sustainable wheat production across the province. Josh Boersen, director of District 9 (Perth), hosted a Grain Farmers of Ontario-sponsored Farm and Food Care Ontario tour for food industry professionals. Boersen highlighted the crops he grows on his farm, the farm equipment he uses to till, plant, spray, and harvest, and the farming practices that benefit sustainability and soil health on his farm. Mary Feldskov, managing editor of the Ontario Grain Farmer magazine and Emma Weizenbluth, grains educator, joined the tour to share more about the Ontario grain industry and Grain Farmers of Ontario. Above: Jeff Barlow takes guests on a tour of his wheat field. Right: Josh Boersen welcomed food industry professionals to his farm.

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